If I were a Congress-man, the only consolation I would take from the defeat in Maharashtra is that the party has got rid of its coalition partner, NCP. And it’s perilously close to coming in fourth, going neck to neck with its erstwhile partner, the Nationalist Congress Party.
In Maharashtra, one of the most important states in the country, its manufacturing hub and financial capital, it has fallen from being top dog to third place. Whether in Haryana or Maharashtra, the party’s tally is pitiful. Whatever that exercise proves, the electorate has decisively proved one thing: it wants the Congress out. What would be interesting to do — at least from an academic point of view — is to sit down when the results are final and compare the seats won by each party with the numbers predicted by exit polls on voting day, October 15. If that is so, even when the tallies are almost completely counted, what it shows is that the science of political predictions is still not a science. While the results on each channel are the same as they should be, there are different sets of projected figures on each channel. As I write this at 4 pm on Sunday, election results and projections keep coming in.
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